Looking for a Surprise surprise. 21 comments


One month from today. Thirty-one days. Pitchers and catchers report to Surprise, Arizona, on February 12.

The real surprise will be how many of these pitchers are able to bounce back from surgery. Between the five expected starters for Texas—Lance Lynn, Mike Minor, Edinson Volquez, Drew Smyly, and Shelby Miller—there have been six total Tommy John surgeries.

This year’s rotation is sponsored by the Arlington Joint & Ligament Clinic. The Rangers don’t need a trainer on staff, they need a surgeon.

It does all lead to one critical question: is this rotation better than last season’s, with Cole Hamels, Doug Fister, Matt Moore, Mike Minor, and Bartolo Colon?

Let’s look at what those pitchers did in 2018.

Cole Hamels: 9-12, 3.78ERA, 190.2 IP, 1.264 WHIP
Mike Minor: 12-8, 4.18ERA, 157.0 IP, 1.121 WHIP
Doug Fister: 1-7, 4.50ERA, 66 IP, 1.394 WHIP
Bartolo Colon: 7-12, 5.79ERA, 146.1 IP, 1.346 WHIP
Matt Moore: 3-8, 6.79ERA, 102.0 IP, 1.657

Here are the stats from each pitcher in 2019’s projected rotation during the last season in which they pitched. Two of the five didn’t pitch last season.

Mike Minor (2018): 12-8, 4.18ERA, 157.0 IP, 1.121 WHIP
Edinson Volquez (2017): 4-8, 4.19ERA, 92.1 IP, 1.419 WHIP
Lance Lynn (2018):  10-10, 4.77ERA, 156.2 IP, 1.526 WHIP
Drew Smyly (2016): 7-12, 4.88ERA, 175.1 IP, 1.272 WHIP
Shelby Miller (2018) 0-4, 10.69 ERA, 16.0 IP, 2.000 WHIP

It appears the Rangers rotation, the one that finished next to last in the American League in starter ERA in 2018, may be worse going into 2019.

In one month, they report to Surprise. Let’s hope they live up to the town’s name.

  • Rowdy Yates

    Spoil sport! And I was all excited about the capabilities of JDs new rotation. His rotations are like doing the hokey pokey. “Put a left hander here and a right hander there and shake it all about…”

  • elkaba

    How depressing…

    • GoRangers23

      My thoughts exactly!

  • JacobMcCandles

    While this rotation could be terrible, when the smoke clears I think it will end up better than last year, which could be good or saying very little…I do know one thing projections are meaningless and the second worst stat since defensive WAR

  • calntom

    Thought you were bringing Gomer Pyle into today’s mix.
    JD needs to sign a couple more projects or rag arms in order to keep the majority of the young arms in Nashville and Frisco until at least September.

  • calntom

    The Rangers did a lot better job with the shape of the Miller contract than with the joke of a contract they gave Moore last year. Miller gets 2 mil and can escalate to 5 mil if he can reach incentives for actually providing some resemblance of a pitcher. Moore pitched like a dog and received 9 or 10 mil.

    It looks as though Volquez has the same type of deal with 2 mil for showing up on the major league hill in 2019 and he can earn up to 6.5 mil if he reaches incentives.

    Smyly earns 7 mil just for showing up for spring training.

    • JacobMcCandles

      Good post and agreed….I think we are on an island though!!!

      • calntom

        No worries, I have the boat beached

        • JacobMcCandles

          As long as its not the SS Minnow!!!

  • calntom

    https://www.mlb.com/rangers/news/rangers-announce-minor-league-awards/c-302534372

    Just caught up with this article as CF prospect Scott Heineman was named Rangers Minor League Player of the Year. I expect that is why they have not signed any help for CF so far this winter as I would expect them to go with DD and Heineman. Looking forward to seeing what Heineman can bring to the team if he makes the 25-man out of ST.

    • JacobMcCandles

      Also have Taveras after that….a CF rated better

      • calntom

        Loaded with OF’s going into the next decade

  • JacobMcCandles

    @RowdyYates1:disqus….FYI, Firstros caravan will be in Austin soon. I know you need to bulk up on jerseys. Altuve fit you? LOL

    • Rowdy Yates

      Nah, Altuve too small for me. But do you need me to pick up one for you?

      • JacobMcCandles

        Nope thanks unless that was a joke…..have one Astro jersey Cesar Cedeno that Scary had and my Ranger jersey is Rusty Greer

        • Rowdy Yates

          Greer is a fav Ranger of mine. Always thought he was way underappreciated.

          • JacobMcCandles

            First player I liked…career was shortened by hitting that LF fence

  • JacobMcCandles

    Cha ching on KC…..Cowpokes plus 7 next!!

    • WhoKnowscs

      So did you lose on the Cowboys what you won on KC?

      • JacobMcCandles

        No….larger bet was KC😜

  • GoRangers23

    OY!!